Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated

Greenhouse gas emissions from biofuels' indirect land use change are uncertain but may be much greater than previously estimated.

The life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions induced by increased biofuel consumption are highly uncertain: individual estimates vary from each other and each has a wide intrinsic error band. Using a reduced-form model, we estimated that the bounding range for emissions from indirect land-use change (ILUC) from US corn ethanol expansion was 10 to 340 g CO(2) MJ(-1). Considering various probabi...

Land-use, Land-cover Changes and Global Aggregate Impacts

Fragile X syndrome is less common than previously estimated.

In 1986, a population study of school children in the city of Coventry gave an overall prevalence in males and females for fragile X syndrome of 1/952. The 29 children diagnosed as having fragile X syndrome in this study have been re-evaluated with molecular diagnostic techniques. Eighteen of the original 29 children have been found not to have the expansion of the FMR1 gene associated with fra...

Are agricultural land-use models able to predict changes in land-use intensity?

Land-use and land-cover change research needs to pay more attention to processes of land-cover modification, and especially to agricultural land intensification. The objective of this paper is to review the different modelling approaches that have been used in land-use/land-cover change research from the perspective of their utility for the study and prediction of changes in land-use intensific...

Global Climate Responses to Land Use and Land Cover Changes Over the Past Two Millennia

A reconstructed land use/land cover change (LUCC) dataset was used with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to conduct a climate sensitivity analysis over the past two millennia. Compared to a controlled experiment conducted with the CESM, the LUCC showed significant biogeophysical effects on global climate on multi-decadal to centennial time scales. The global annual mean temperature and p...